To provide the best stats in order to help you to identify the leading international players that are likely to feature at this year's World Cup.
Firstly using a combination of opinion and data, we identified the likely starting 11 for each of the 32 teams at the World Cup. Special shout out to Jay Hall who had already completed this stage for us.
Next, we gathered data on each outfield player in the likely starting 11, for each international game they have played in over the last 3 seasons. As Opta did not have individual game data for this period we had to use an alternative data provider for this.
Then, as the data slightly differs from the data that Opta provides we built an estimation model for the alternative data provider based on known scores to predict PB scores for each game. We tested this for 383 PB scores and found that the model can explain over 90% of the variability in PB scores (see graph).
Finally, we applied this model to each player's stats to get an estimated PB score for each game.
With all the data we will be providing our members with key stats on every likely world cup starter including:
- Estimated Average International Score
- Estimated StdDev between scores
- Games Played
- Goals Scores
- Distribution of Estimated Scores
We will be releasing these results on a team by team basis as we approach the World Cup starting this week! Keep up to date with our twitter account to ensure you don't miss out!
Premium Members will be given priority over all of these stats. If you are still not a premium member and would like access to these stats as well as countless other benefits, SIGN UP BY CLICKING HERE
On occasion, we may release some data to our free members (albeit in these cases it will be after it is released to premium members). If you are still not a free member you can SIGN UP BY CLICKING HERE